Short-Term Dip For Las Vegas Sands
Published April 4, 2017
On April 3, 2017, the Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS) 20 day moving average (MA) crossed above its 100 day MA while its 50 day MA crossed below the 200 day MA. Both events have never occurred on the same day. Historically the 20 MA has crossed above the 100 MA 18 times. The stock has a minimal gain of 0.157%, has a median gain of 5.899% and maximum gain of 72.847 % over the next 15 trading days. Historically the 50 MA has crossed below the 200 MA 6 times. The has a minimal loss of 0.661%, a median loss of 4.687%, and maximum loss of 11.732% over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 64.5565. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is slightly moving up and recently retreated from near overbought levels.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently 20.5597. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is slightly moving up.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.1249. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving up, although is retreating.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 72.6098 and D value is 69.2514. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock is coming out of an oversold level, but trending up again.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be heading up, but could have a brief pullback from current levels first. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could lose another 1.5% over the next 5 trading days. After this drop, the stock could move up toward the resistance level around 60. From the close on April 3, the stock could gain 4.9% within the next four weeks. If bought near the anticipated dip, the gain could be greater than 6.5%.
DISCLOSURE: Upon recognizing this cross, I opened a short position before the close. Historical movements and technical indicators should never be the sole basis for entering positions involving risk. Make sure appropriate research is conducted prior to taking any risk in a marketplace.